By Abbas Djuma *
Don’t bounce to conclusions. The party is not over. Summing up Iran’s right away strike, which resulted in many missiles and drones remaining fired at Israel, I can’t enable but take note the response of skeptics, who are crafting with undisguised disappointment about the 99% of targets shot down and the reality that the Iranians have once again unsuccessful to live up to their expectations. A lot of words and phrases have been mentioned on social media that there was more sound than precise consequence. And that Iran only achieved an informational target.
At the very same time, almost no one famous the extraordinary complexity of the situation in which the Islamic Republic observed alone immediately after the Israeli assault on the Iranian consulate in Damascus. Tehran wanted to reply to Tel Aviv in this sort of a way that:
1. Did not appear pathetic and unconvincing
2. Achieved unique military aims
3. Dd not ignite Planet War III.
To fulfil the initially position, it was important that Iran stroke by alone and not exclusively by proxy forces. This was accomplished.
On the second position, even though most of the missiles and drones ended up certainly shot down by the air defenses of Israel and the US, some missiles managed to split by means of and some of them accomplished their aims. Mohammad Bagheri, head of the Basic Employees of the Iranian Armed Forces, explained that these were being the information and facts centre on the border amongst Israel and Syria, as nicely as the Israeli airbase Nevatim.
Ultimately, on position quantity 3: A Earth War did not commence. Just like in 2020 when the Iranians hit the Us citizens in Iraq in reaction to the assassination of Typical Suleimani.
Lovely! I imagine Iran justifies a spherical of applause.
I should incorporate that it is premature to speculate on the efficiency or ineffectiveness of Iran’s assault. It is noteworthy that this is exactly what Israeli propaganda, with the active aid of the “all-propagandists”, is now accomplishing. Just to draw interest away from very significant facts. I will record them:
1. Iran did not strike, but only slapped Israel. Certainly, this was not finished to start off a war in which the US would be drawn into. Which is specifically what Netanyahu wished. So, Iran didn’t purchase Israel’s provocation.
2. Iran utilised mainly aged missiles and drones that experienced been sitting idle. But even these were enough for a impressive and showy smackdown, as nicely as for economic hurt to Israel – The charge of capturing them down was a great deal larger than was the charge of the missiles. For a serious tough hit, Iran has other means.
3. Tehran once more demonstrated Tel Aviv’s vulnerability. It showed that Israel can be strike if you strike it all jointly. Nicely, the diploma of destruction, which was so lacking for the couch commentators, will count on the type of missiles and drones. Iran has a ton of them, including diverse versions.
4. Israel is confused once more, like on 7 Oct. It needs to react. But how? By hitting Iranian proxies? That’s good. But then what? Hit Iran? Then see place variety two.
Tehran has passed the ball to Tel Aviv, which now faces the identical 3 duties I spelled out at the commencing, describing Iran’s challenging predicament. But can Israel fix them as nicely as the Islamic Republic did?
* Moscow-dependent Syrian journalist
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